World Futures
What is changing?
- world
- There is an enormous amount of freely available data on many species around the world that can be employed to get a better picture of exactly how many species are truly under extreme threat.
- Major cities in the world will eventually be mapped to use self-monitoring systems.
- The world will need to find carbon capture technologies to remove carbon from the air.
- The world is facing an "existential threat" to nutritional security.
- An individual could be in an office in one country and be operating a small drone fleet that's literally on the other side of the world.
- Feeding a growing global population will become almost impossible if the world doesn't take better care of its rapidly deteriorating soils.
- Smallholder and large-scale farmers will continue to nourish the world in the face of increased complexity and rapid urbanization.
- The loss of U.S. outposts around the world will mean diminished services to U.S. citizens when they travel.
- In the next 30 years, the world will see much more pain than happiness.
- In the coming decades, the world will probably become far more complex than it is today.
- Governments around the world will need to prioritise development and implementation of rapid diagnostics.
- Uber still faces an uphill climb in cities and countries around the world that see the start-up as reckless and a threat to the labor force.
- Researchers with the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War have assessed that a nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan involving 100 weapons would cause climate disruption putting up to two billion people around the world at risk of starvation.
- 90% of the global business world will become internet based over the next 20-30 years.
- Annual losses from storm surges in coastal areas around the world could double.
- Gas is projected to make the largest contribution to societies across the world.
- The world we are living in is driving unparalleled transparency-and subsequent efficiencies.
- Geographic boundaries could become less of a factor in global economies, and we could see more shared knowledge and resource between business across the world.
- The world will have to look at geoengineering even if all electricity went solar and all cars are electric.
- By 2035 the number of working age people in Africa is expected to exceed the rest of the world combined.
- Cities around the world will need to find innovative ways to improve areas such as public transport, infrastructure capacity, toxic air quality levels.
- Cyber-attacks could cost the world up to $90 trillion in net economic benefit by 2030 if cyber security doesn't keep pace with growing interconnectedness.
- The United States is expected to continue to lead growth in the developed world in 2017-18.
- The developing world, excluding China, accounts for 30% of global demand and is expected to record increases in steel demand of 4% and 4.9% in 2017 and 2018 respectively.
- A tightening of policy from the Federal Reserve, America's central bank, or rising protectionism could add to the vulnerability of exposed firms in the emerging world.
- Remittances to developing countries were expected to grow by an estimated 3.3 per cent to $444 billion in 2017.
- Even in 2030, the world's poorest countries will not be able to afford around half of their total education costs.
- market
- China will gradually open its markets to global competition.
- By 2020 Indonesia will become one of the biggest digital markets in Southeast Asia.
- The UK solar industry risks being left behind while other major economies strengthen their stake in a booming world market.
- Global animal protein demand is expected to grow by more than 45% whereby poultry (broilers and eggs) are the fastest growing protein markets.
- The global AR market is expected to exceed $95bn by 2023.
- The rural FMCG market in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.6 per cent.
- First all-electric Volvo car will be made in China for world market.
- The world market for muscle food packaging is expected to exceed $31 billion by 2017.
- world health organization
- In 2018, the World Health Organization will try out the first malaria vaccine in the field in Africa.
- The World Health Organization has recommended mobile devices as an option for providing support and therapy to people at risk of suicide.
- The World Health Organization has stated that there is no risk from thiomersal in vaccines.
- population
- The United Nations predicts that, by 2050, the population of Asia will reach 5 billion.
- 7 percent of the global population will see a decrease of 20 percent or more in renewable water resources.
- 31% of the global population would be at risk of malnourishment by 2050 with no climate change and 52% of the global population (an extra 1.7 billion people) were at risk of malnourishment when climate change is considered.
- The outlook for the global animal protein industry is bright and poultry is going to be the winning protein in the next decade when the world population expands and incomes rise.
- 47 percent of the world's population will be living in areas of high water stress by 2030.
- work
- By 2027 AI will have changed everything about the way marketers work.
- Generation Z will become the driving force behind how the world works.
- demand
- Amazon would throw its weight around the publishing world by threatening to lower the store rankings of publishers who did not meet their digitization demands.
- The developing world, excluding China, accounts for 30% of global demand and is expected to record increases in steel demand of 4% and 4.9% in 2017 and 2018 respectively.
- Global animal protein demand is expected to grow by more than 45% whereby poultry (broilers and eggs) are the fastest growing protein markets.
- In 2018, global steel demand will grow by 0.9% and will reach 1,548.5 Mt.
- Global steel demand will increase by 1.3% to 1,535.2 Mt in 2017.
- For 2017, world oil demand is projected to increase by 1.3 mb/d (1.4 percent) to an average of 97.9 mb/d.
- world government commitment
- World governments commitment to incentivize one energy source over the other will be important going forward.
- Fractious geo-politics may change everything very rapidly.
- percent
- For 2017, world oil demand is projected to increase by 1.3 mb/d (1.4 percent) to an average of 97.9 mb/d.
- Advances in technology will continue to create more jobs than it destroys over the next decade (54 percent).
- Crop losses to erosion could reach 10 percent by 2050 if no action is taken.
- 7 percent of the global population will see a decrease of 20 percent or more in renewable water resources.
- The IMF projects the U.K. will grow just 2 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2018.
- Fish catch in tropical areas is expected to decline 40 percent by 2050.
- During 2017 and 2018, premium volume in property and casualty insurance will grow an average of 4.0 percent (almost 2.5 percent in real terms.
- British Prime Minister Theresa May can announce that the top U.K. corporate rate will decline to 17 percent in 2020.
- The World Bank's Food Commodity Price Index is expected to remain steady in 2017 and to rise a modest 1 percent in 2018.
- capacity
- Cities around the world will need to find innovative ways to improve areas such as public transport, infrastructure capacity, toxic air quality levels.
- The world's installed solar capacity is now projected to be about 700 gigawatts by 2020.
- service world heritage site
- Loss of species and habitat through illegal activity such as logging threatens the services world heritage sites provide to local people.
- people
- When machines can be creative, there will be more art in the world, which means that art will be cheaper and more accessible for people who cannot afford it.
- 2 billion more people will have smartphone-centric mobile wallets in places like Africa and Asia.
- By 2020, more people will have mobile phones than have electricity or running water in their homes or villages.
- Two thirds of people expect to see robots working in government within the next two decades.
- Apple could gain real-world insight into what people want to do with their videos.
- The World Health Organization has recommended mobile devices as an option for providing support and therapy to people at risk of suicide.
- By 2035 the number of working age people in Africa is expected to exceed the rest of the world combined.
- Loss of species and habitat through illegal activity such as logging threatens the services world heritage sites provide to local people.
- global competition
- Conversations about education are shifting to focus on identifying and cultivating the complex 21st-century skills children will need to succeed amid global competition and uncertainty.
- China will gradually open its markets to global competition.
- year
- The number of proton therapy centers in United States is anticipated to increase year on year will result in more clinical research.
- 90% of the global business world will become internet based over the next 20-30 years.
- Without clear and measurable value propositions, many business models will fail in the next two to five years.
- Approximately 1.3 billion tonnes of municipal waste generated every year is expected to rise to approximately 2.2 billion tonnes per year by 2025.
- Renewables will be the primary power source within 25 years
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Implications
Sentiment Analysis
World sentiment has been neutral recently but is showing signs of better positive sentiment despite the current geopolitical concerns that confront us all.
Topic map
Emerging changes due to energy issues, population change, politics, trade and technological change dominate the topic map:
Heat map
North America and Australasia, particularly India, will be most affected by the above issues.
Graphit!
Technology is the key driving force right now, out to 2020, and is projected to continue to be so through to 2030.
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Time to complete: Athena read and found 16,707 forecasts to allow us to produce this summary in 30 minutes.