Asian Futures
What is changing?
- Region
- Asia pacific region is expected to grow with the highest growth rate owing to surge in the number of electric vehicle in the region and high investments in R & D of advanced energy storage systems.
- Asia-Pacific is expected to lead the smart advisors market by region between 2016 and 2021.
- The rising use of hygiene products in Asia Pacific, especially China and India is expected to boost demand for Super absorbent polymers in the region.
- The presence of key electronics manufacturing hub with multiple manufacturing activities in countries such as China, India, Japan and South Korea is expected to be the major factor for the growth of Asia Pacific region.
- Online video advertising sector in the Asia Pacific region will grow from under US$12 billion in 2017 to more than $25 billion by 2022.
- The Asia Pacific region will dominate the ranking of operators by subscriber gains between 2016 and 2022.
- The Asia Pacific region will boast more than 10 million TV subscribers by 2022.
- By 2035 half of the world's advanced submarines and combat aircraft will be based in the Asia-Pacific region.
- Australia will continue to dominate the arms market in the Asia-Pacific region.
- The Asia-Pacific region is expected to witness fastest growth rate in dental growth implants during the forecast period mainly due to the rising disposable income.
- The Asia-Pacific region is predicted to account for over a third of all new energy source IoT connections by 2025.
- A complementary maritime "road" will extend from the eastern coastal regions of China through Southeast Asia into the Indian Ocean, the Middle East, and East Africa and include upgraded port and harbor facilities capable of supporting higher levels of seaborne trade.
- Climate change will erode the development opportunities and the quality of life of hundreds of millions of people in the Asia and the Pacific regions.
- Western Europe and Asia / Pacific (excluding Japan) will be the second and third largest regions with 2021 spending levels of $52 billion and $25 billion.
- In five years, Just in Time shipments will have the highest use in Latin America (42 percent) and Asia Pacific (40 percent).
- The flourishing healthcare sector in Asia Pacific is expected to enable rapid growth of the regional market.
- Asia Pacific overtook Western Europe in 2013 in global pay TV revenues and will be larger than the whole of Europe in 2017.
- Asia Pacific will add 92 million TV subs between 2016 and 2022.
- Asia Pacific is expected to gain a significant share in the overall market due to high prevalence of health conditions such as high cholesterol, diabetes, and hypertension that have spiked the number of cardiovascular disease cases in recent years.
- Industry players operating in Asia Pacific could leverage the boost in consumption because of the shift in preference from metal slabs, marble floors, and other decorative offerings to ceramic tiles.
- The construction sector in Asia Pacific could paint a lucrative outlook for the regional ceramic tiles market.
- Asia
- Climate change will erode the development opportunities and the quality of life of hundreds of millions of people in the Asia and the Pacific regions.
- A temperature increase of 6 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times is projected for some parts of Asia and the Pacific by the year 2100.
- Health will account for the lion's share of the $1.3 trillion that developing Asia is expected to spend on social infrastructure by 2025.
- Agribusinesses in Queensland will be able to despatch fresh foods to markets and consumers in Asia.
- Most growth of aviation will be in Asia.
- The greatest growth in travel will be in Asia.
- India and China are expected to be the major markets for atomic layer deposition in Asia Pacific due to the presence of established end-user industries.
- In Asia Pacific, more than 60% of enterprise IT investments will be on hardware.
- Investors in Asia have been reluctant to invest in biotech because of a long investment cycle and comparatively higher risk.
- Additional PE capacity in Asia will result in additional US and Middle Eastern volumes available for export to deficit markets.
- Nonwoven fabric production in Asia will continue to grow at a healthy pace.
- Investment firms in Asia will face much stricter compliance requirements in order to provide regulators with end-to-end records relating to specific investment decisions.
- Major drivers include what China perceives as the dangers of U.S. global hegemony, wwwcracy promotion, and attempts to undermine strategic stability or otherwise threaten Chinese security interests in Asia.
- Between 2017 and 2026, Asia will be nearly tied with Europe in new offshore wind capacity development.
- Russia will need to work hard to harmonize relations with its many partners in Asia and the Middle East-from Japan and South Korea to Vietnam and Indonesia to Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey.
- The rising use of hygiene products in Asia Pacific, especially China and India is expected to boost demand for Super absorbent polymers in the region.
- The deep sea port in Melaka is reportedly targeted to be a liquid cargo terminal with storage facilities that will benefit oil trading in Asia, Europe and the Middle East.
- The roles of the major powers in Asia in future will be determined by the issues that they can convince one another they are willing to go to war with one another over.
- Western Europe and Asia / Pacific (excluding Japan) will be the second and third largest regions with 2021 spending levels of $52 billion and $25 billion.
- QFC is served by the largest railway hub in the area, Qianhaiwan Station, an integrated transport centre that will become the largest of its kind in Asia when complete.
- In Asia, China, India, and Japan will continue to be the fastest growing markets in cancer drugs market.
- The cancer diagnostics market in Asia is expected to grow at the highest rate from 2015 to 2020.
- Central Asia is far from U.S. shores and poses no direct security threat to the U.S. or its allies.
- Improved prediction models by validating the predictions with algae data and predicted the highest risk of invasion to be between northern Europe and East Asia.
- Early adopters of Detach in Europe, China and SE Asia will be driven by regulations restricting antibiotic use and customer preference (China / HK / SE Asia).
- In South Asia, food shortages induced by climate change could increase the number of malnourished children by 7 million by 2050.
- Myanmar has five times the hydropower potential as Laos and could emerge as a power trade hub for both Southeast and South Asia.
- China does and will face similar complications in its ties with a range of resource-rich but conflict-affected developing countries in Africa and Southeast Asia in particular.
- China and Southeast Asia will sustain downstream markets of $5 billion and $1.4 billion.
- A complementary maritime "road" will extend from the eastern coastal regions of China through Southeast Asia into the Indian Ocean, the Middle East, and East Africa and include upgraded port and harbor facilities capable of supporting higher levels of seaborne trade.
- Chinese IUU has heightened the risk of interstate conflict in Southeast Asia.
- Growth projections for Southeast Asia were expected to remain at 4.8 percent in 2017 and 5.0 percent in 2018.
- China
- China seeks to allay local suspicion of its increasing influence and hopes the SREB will improve attitudes toward China among Central Asian states.
- In his book China's Asian Dream, Tom Miller reckons that at most China could finance $50 billion to $100 billion in Belt and Road Initiative projects each year.
- The Export-Import Bank of China and the China Development Bank will continue to play the most important roles in funding BRI projects.
- China does and will face similar complications in its ties with a range of resource-rich but conflict-affected developing countries in Africa and Southeast Asia in particular.
- The presence of key electronics manufacturing hub with multiple manufacturing activities in countries such as China, India, Japan and South Korea is expected to be the major factor for the growth of Asia Pacific region.
- Early adopters of Detach in Europe, China and SE Asia will be driven by regulations restricting antibiotic use and customer preference (China / HK / SE Asia).
- With nations such as China and India it is unlikely another continent will surpass Asia in population size.
- India and China are expected to be the major markets for atomic layer deposition in Asia Pacific due to the presence of established end-user industries.
- China and Southeast Asia will sustain downstream markets of $5 billion and $1.4 billion.
- A complementary maritime "road" will extend from the eastern coastal regions of China through Southeast Asia into the Indian Ocean, the Middle East, and East Africa and include upgraded port and harbor facilities capable of supporting higher levels of seaborne trade.
- Russia's opposition to the West's promotion of wwwcracy and human rights can be expected to override any concerns about overdependence on China.
- Major drivers include what China perceives as the dangers of U.S. global hegemony, wwwcracy promotion, and attempts to undermine strategic stability or otherwise threaten Chinese security interests in Asia.
- The success of Russian business cooperation with China will be increasingly dependent on technical management and governance.
- China and India's healthcare service revenues are expected to grow at a massive rate.
- The rising use of hygiene products in Asia Pacific, especially China and India is expected to boost demand for Super absorbent polymers in the region.
- There is a 6% chance every decade that a simultaneous failure in maize production could occur in China and the US which would result in widespread misery.
- Due to increasing job opportunities in Asia-Pacific countries, China and India will show a tremendous development in the global Trifluoroacetic Acid market.
- Bankable markets such as India, China, and South Korea are expected to draw an enormous demand for ceramic tiles owing to a rapid rise in urbanization leading to increased construction activities.
- China is going to be seen by all its East Asian neighbours as the principal driver of their economic prospects.
- There remains a slight chance that South Korean exports will overtake China in 2017 depending on delivery schedules of various programmes but in the longer term China has a bigger overall backlog.
- In Asia, China, India, and Japan will continue to be the fastest growing markets in cancer drugs market.
- Market
- Agribusinesses in Queensland will be able to despatch fresh foods to markets and consumers in Asia.
- Exporting excess power capacity from Yunnan to markets in Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, or Phnom Penh could deliver sustainability benefits by reducing the need for future dams in the Lower Mekong in the medium and long term.
- Australia will continue to dominate the arms market in the Asia-Pacific region.
- The Asia Pacific mHealth market was evaluated at $2.3 billion in 2014 and is expected to register a CAGR of 35.8% during the forecast period 2015 to 2020.
- Growth in Asia-Pacific market is expected to be driven by increasing tobacco consumption, growing population, and increasing disposable income.
- Bankable markets such as India, China, and South Korea are expected to draw an enormous demand for ceramic tiles owing to a rapid rise in urbanization leading to increased construction activities.
- The cancer diagnostics market in Asia is expected to grow at the highest rate from 2015 to 2020.
- In Asia, China, India, and Japan will continue to be the fastest growing markets in cancer drugs market.
- Additional PE capacity in Asia will result in additional US and Middle Eastern volumes available for export to deficit markets.
- China and Southeast Asia will sustain downstream markets of $5 billion and $1.4 billion.
- Europe will continue to play a significant role as an export destination market.
- Asia-Pacific is an emerging economy and the fastest growing market across the globe and has registered the CAGR of more than 8% and is expected to grow by 9.5% in the forecasted period.
- Due to increasing job opportunities in Asia-Pacific countries, China and India will show a tremendous development in the global Trifluoroacetic Acid market.
- The ADB or China's new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank could serve as catalytic actors bring an integrated GMS power market to light.
- Major North American cities such as New York and Chicago is expected to be a lucrative biopesticides market in the coming few years.
- India and China are expected to be the major markets for atomic layer deposition in Asia Pacific due to the presence of established end-user industries.
- Due to Asian MTO plants' ability to dictate global prices based on their consumption volumes a new-found volatility is expected in methanol markets.
- Asia Pacific is expected to gain a significant share in the overall market due to high prevalence of health conditions such as high cholesterol, diabetes, and hypertension that have spiked the number of cardiovascular disease cases in recent years.
- The flourishing healthcare sector in Asia Pacific is expected to enable rapid growth of the regional market.
- The construction sector in Asia Pacific could paint a lucrative outlook for the regional ceramic tiles market.
- Asia-Pacific is expected to lead the smart advisors market by region between 2016 and 2021.
- Adoption of Trifluoroacetic Acid in the distinct fields in Europe will help to increase the expansion of Trifluoroacetic Acid market globally.
- Asia-Pacific is expected to emerge as a high-growth market for marketing analytics software.
- Revenue
- Revenues will rocket by 57% in Sub-Saharan Africa (up by $2.40 billion to $6.59 billion) and by 17% in Middle East & North Africa (up by $0.59 billion to $4.12 billion) between 2016 and 2022: Sub-Saharan Africa passed MENA in 2016 and will overtake Eastern Europe in 2021.
- Despite its rapidly falling revenues, North America will still command 47.5% of global pay TV revenues -- or $94.82 billion -- in 2022, although this is way down from the 58.3% recorded in 2010.
- Asia Pacific revenue will benefit from high consumer electronics sales and growing demand for convenience among users.
- Global analog cable revenues will fall by $8.77 billion between 2016 and 2022.
- Asia Pacific overtook Western Europe in 2013 in global pay TV revenues and will be larger than the whole of Europe in 2017.
- China and India's healthcare service revenues are expected to grow at a massive rate.
Rate
- The Asia-Pacific region is expected to witness fastest growth rate in dental growth implants during the forecast period mainly due to the rising disposable income.
- The cancer diagnostics market in Asia is expected to grow at the highest rate from 2015 to 2020.
- Asia pacific region is expected to grow with the highest growth rate owing to surge in the number of electric vehicle in the region and high investments in R & D of advanced energy storage systems.
- China and India's healthcare service revenues are expected to grow at a massive rate.
- Singapore's annual growth rate could reach 5.4 percent by 2035 through the adoption of artificial intelligence.
- Stability
- Central Asia's stability is becoming more crucial for the PRC's plans both for east-west integration and for the security of its western borders against sub-state terrorist threats.
- Major drivers include what China perceives as the dangers of U.S. global hegemony, wwwcracy promotion, and attempts to undermine strategic stability or otherwise threaten Chinese security interests in Asia.
- Economy
- Climate change could lead to the loss of about $52 billion per year for the economies of the Asia-Pacific.
- A combination of higher wages in Asian countries and a trend for bringing back manufacturing to the US could dismantle large parts of Asian economies.
- Asia-Pacific is an emerging economy and the fastest growing market across the globe and has registered the CAGR of more than 8% and is expected to grow by 9.5% in the forecasted period.
- Global economic growth will be driven by emerging market economies.
- Southeast Asia s largest economy is expected to reach a record 20 - million-ton demand for steel by 2025.
- Market penetration
- Anti-theft tags and consumer electronics among others is expected to intensify the market penetration in the coming years.
Implications
Trend
Trends in Asia continue to be the subject of much research and rising interest as the region continues to be the world’s growth engine. Expect more interest and economic activity going forward.
Topic map
We recommend you further explore the topics forecasts below at Shaping Tomorrow to gain further foresight on how Asia may impact your organization in the future.
Heat map
Virtually the whole developed and developing world will be impacted by Asia’s growth. Expect non-contiguous trading partnerships to grow between Asia and the rest of the world.
Graphit
The key opportunities and risks facing Asia in the next three years are shown in the graph below. They represent opportunities and risks for the rest of the world too. We recommend you explore these in more detail at Shaping Tomorrow to mitigate threats to your organization and to seize upcoming opportunities.
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